COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECRUITING, RERANKED BY RESULTS
Stars2Stats tracks what happened after the hype — who developed, who flopped, and which programs actually turned talent into NFL value.
Era-wide aggregates from published 2004–2015 signing classes — where recruiting rankings matched outcomes and where they did not.
Top-10 recruiting classes
38%
Share of top-10 recruiting classes that finished outside the top 10 in S2S outcome rank for that signing year.
NFL outcomes by star rating
50%
Share of tracked NFL outcomes in our dataset attributed to recruits who were not five-star prospects at signing.
Development vs recruiting rank
+99 spots
Largest single-year gap between recruiting rank and S2S outcome rank in the published era.
These figures come from published 2004–2015 S2S rerank data. See how Stars2Stats calculates recruiting expectations, outcome rank, and development value in our Methodology, Data Sources, and Corrections.
Three entry points into the same argument: hype vs what actually happened.
The classes and programs that were overrated by the star system.
Florida 2005 — 2 NFL outcomes from 18 recruits
Aggregated public NFL career earnings by signing school in our published coverage window.
The newest outcomes-driven stories from the Stars2Stats data.
The class whose outcomes rewrote the signing-day story.
The clearest gap between recruiting reputation and what actually happened.
A program that sent more league value than the rankings implied.
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Every rerank table compares expectation at signing to verified outcomes afterward.
Step 1
Where a signing class stood nationally on signing day — the industry expectation before anyone played a down.
Step 2
Our outcome-based rerank after careers are scored: college production, honors, NFL draft and roster results, and class-level value.
Step 3
The gap between those two ranks — development that beat the hype, a miss that underperformed, or hidden value the composites missed.
Stars2Stats compares original recruiting expectations against verified college and NFL outcomes. Our rerankings are based on an original S2S scoring model that weighs production, development, NFL results, and class-level value.
Current S2S coverage includes published recruiting classes from 2004–2015. Additional years are added after scoring review, source checks, and methodology QA.